Gaps and How to Trade Them

June 19, 2022 0 By The Balanced Trader

Gaps 

Two types of Gaps:

IR : Inside range but a gap to the prior settlement. These gaps tends to be filled more often than OR.

OR: Out of range these are more significant.

Gaps are important, and they announce that something has changed, or potential change.”– Jim Legend Dalton.  

An open gap out of range(above or below the previous day’s session, high or low) signifies an important shift in the market participant’s thinking. The market is out of balance. 

One of three things can happen; 

  1. Open Continuation: The move away from prior value continues (discovery mode) until an opposing force slows the auction. Balance is eventually re-established in a new area. DO NOT FADE THE INITIAL PRICE DISCOVERY. Wait for clues that a bottom/high is forming or formed.
  2. Open Reversal: The Auction rejects the gap and quickly reverses back to prior area of balance. 
  3. Open Consolidation: Gap acceptance, or at least takes time to think about. Buyers and sellers both agree, and the consensus is to form a new balance zone. Value is re-established.  
    • The time spent in acceptance is important, a balance that is established only for a relatively short period before returning to the prior balance area gives us essential information about the auction. 

Gap Trading Rules

  • Trade in the direction of all gaps that don’t fill quickly on the open. If you see initiation away from the gap open this gives me a strong directional bias.
  • The larger the gap, the smaller the odds it will fill that day. Most gaps will fill within the first hour of the session.
  • 50% of a gap fill can often be a good target, especially on larger gaps.
  • Identify local references and levels and observe for signs of gap rejection or gap consolidation.
    • A gap is rejected if an opposing force responds to the higher or lower prices, and the auction moves to close the gap.
    • Possibility for gap move to consolidate. This is typical for larger gaps that find support /resistance at a prior reference. Balance rules.
  • Observe volume. This is key.
    • Low volume and a weak attempt to close the gap is a sign of weakness. Shorts taken.
    • High volume Impulsive PA is a sign that the gap may close or move away from the prior range will continue.
A Week of Gaps

A look at some gaps, to be appended